Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.036365 0.039250 0.042277 0.045693 0.049447 0.053453 0.058059
2025-04-13 0.032096 0.036231 0.040808 0.046272 0.052641 0.059863 0.068713
2025-04-20 0.028929 0.033761 0.039330 0.046265 0.054728 0.064792 0.077775
2025-04-27 0.026896 0.032249 0.038626 0.046853 0.057285 0.070207 0.087636
2025-05-04 0.024908 0.030538 0.037431 0.046590 0.058587 0.073977 0.095553
2025-05-11 0.023307 0.029135 0.036445 0.046413 0.059857 0.077655 0.103505
2025-05-18 0.021901 0.027852 0.035477 0.046121 0.060858 0.080937 0.111069
2025-05-25 0.020752 0.026810 0.034723 0.046012 0.062029 0.084452 0.119162
2025-06-01 0.019531 0.025583 0.033626 0.045323 0.062287 0.086621 0.125372
2025-06-08 0.018369 0.024362 0.032452 0.044424 0.062137 0.088127 0.130618
2025-06-15 0.017470 0.023449 0.031642 0.043975 0.062584 0.090500 0.137349
2025-06-22 0.016670 0.022628 0.030909 0.043575 0.063048 0.092889 0.144251
2025-06-29 0.015775 0.021635 0.029888 0.042699 0.062741 0.094070 0.149299
2025-07-06 0.015340 0.021283 0.029774 0.043179 0.064564 0.098761 0.160722
2025-07-13 0.014801 0.020749 0.029359 0.043160 0.065574 0.102173 0.170192
2025-07-20 0.014449 0.020472 0.029309 0.043697 0.067506 0.107239 0.183090
2025-07-27 0.013923 0.019907 0.028792 0.043455 0.068115 0.110063 0.192069
2025-08-03 0.013452 0.019406 0.028344 0.043292 0.068836 0.113113 0.201734
2025-08-10 0.012987 0.018892 0.027851 0.043023 0.069345 0.115801 0.210920
2025-08-17 0.012590 0.018465 0.027475 0.042923 0.070132 0.119033 0.221489
2025-08-24 0.012098 0.017871 0.026805 0.042290 0.069926 0.120394 0.228305
2025-08-31 0.011594 0.017237 0.026044 0.041462 0.069315 0.120935 0.233421
2025-09-07 0.011204 0.016772 0.025539 0.041049 0.069434 0.122873 0.241726